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Where My Hogs At?

Georgia's "Hogs" of (L to R) 1994, 2008, and 2014, all had outstanding seasons—at least, comparatively speaking, and in regards to the "Hog Index."
Georgia's "Hogs" of (L to R) 1994, 2008, and 2014, all had outstanding seasons—at least, comparatively speaking, and in regards to the "Hog Index."

Comparatively speaking, was Georgia’s offensive line as inferior as perceived?

By Patrick Garbin—Twitter @PGarbinDT

The Bulldogs’ offensive line: It was considered a weakness last season and, although presumably improved, is an area of concern for the 2017 campaign. Still, how actually inferior was Georgia’s line play in 2016—at least, comparatively speaking?

Featured by a number of media outlets, including The New York Times, the “Hog Index” originally was an NFL comparative measurement for offensive line performance. I tweaked the index a tad to where a college team's offensive line ranking can be determined by its average of three rankings in comparison to the other teams being measured: a) yards per rush (sacks omitted); b) negative pass-play percentage, or the percent of passing plays (pass attempts + times sacked) resulting in an interception or sack; and c) third- and fourth-down combined conversion rate.

Now, I’m aware that some may argue why one of, if not all three, aforementioned calculations don’t adequately measure an offensive line’s performance. Notwithstanding, if there’s a better way to comparatively evaluate offensive line play, I seriously would be interested in hearing about it.

Yet, for what it’s worth, the Hog Index reveals that when compared to the rest of the SEC, Georgia’s offensive line in 2016 actually wasn’t too shabby. Although the Bulldogs’ 5.17 yards-per-carry average ranked 10th in the conference, their 8.05 negative pass-play percentage was 6th, whereas their 42.51 third and fourth-down rate was a lofty 3rd. Considering the individual rankings of 10th, 6th, and 3rd, Georgia’s average of 6.33 ranked 7th in the 14-member league:

SEC Offensive HOG INDEX for 2016
Rank) Team Yards-per-carry average Negative pass-play percentage Third- and fourth-down combined conversion rate Avg. of three

1) Alabama

3rd

4th

1st`

2.67

2) Missouri

9th

1st

2nd

4.00

3) Texas A&M

2nd

2nd

11th

5.00

t-4) Auburn

6th

7th

4th

5.67

t-4) LSU

1st

8th

8th

5.67

t-4) Miss. State

5th

3rd

9th

5.67

7) Georgia

10th

6th

3rd

6.33

8) Ole Miss

12th

5th

6th

7.67

9) Kentucky

4th

14th

6th

8.00

10) Tennessee

7th

9th

12th

9.33

11) Florida

14th

10th

5th

9.67

12) Arkansas

8th

13th

10th

10.33

13) Vanderbilt

11th

11th

14th

12.00

14) S. Carolina

13th

12th

13th

12.67

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Rather surprised at the result above, I thought I would figure Georgia’s 2016 Hog Index compared to other Bulldog teams as far back as possible. Beginning in 1994, or when the school first made opponent sacks readily available, I discovered Georgia’s 5.17 ypc, 8.05 npp, and 42.51 3rd-and-4th rate ranked 5th, 14th, and 10th, respectively, for an average of 9.67, ranking the Bulldogs’ offensive line performance last year tied for 9th over the last 23 seasons.

The top and bottom five Georgia offensive lines in regards to Hog Index:

TOP and BOTTOM Offensive HOG INDEXES for Georgia (1994-2016)
TOP 5 YPC NPP 3rd-4th Rate Avg. of three (L to R) Starters 

1) 2014

1st

6th

1st

2.67

John Theus, Jr.; Brandon Kublanow, So.; David Andrews, Sr.; Greg Pyke, So.; Kolton Houston, Jr.

2) 2007

10th

3rd

5th

6.00

Trinton Sturdivant, Fr.; Chris Davis, Fr.; Fernando Velasco, Sr.; Clint Boling, Fr.; Chester Adams, Sr.

3) 2013

6th

9th

6th

7.00

Kenarious Gates, Sr.; Dallas Lee, Sr.; David Andrews, Jr.; Chris Burnette, Sr.; John Theus, So.

t-4) 1994

4th

1st

17th

7.33

Adam Meadows, So.; Steve Roberts, Sr.; Scott Brownholtz, Sr.; Resty Beadles, So.; Troy Stark, Jr.

t-4) 2008

9th

2nd

11th

7.33

Clint Boling, So.; Cordy Glenn, Fr.; Ben Jones, Fr.; Chris Davis, So.; Justin Anderson, Fr.

BOTTOM 5

YPC

NPP

3rd-4th Rate

Avg. of three

(L to R) Starters

23) 1996

21st

21st

22nd

21.33

Adam Meadows, Sr.; Resty Beadles, Sr.; Brad Stafford, Jr.; Antonio Fleming, Jr.; Matt Stinchcomb, So.

t-21) 2000

23rd

13th

16th

17.33

Jonas Jennings, Sr.; Brady Pate, Sr.; Curt McGill, Jr.; Kevin Breedlove, So.; Jon Stinchcomb, So.

t-21) 2006

18th

20th

14th

17.33

Ken Shackleford, Sr.; Fernando Velasco, Jr.; Nick Jones, Sr.; Chester Adams, Jr.; Daniel Inman, Sr.

t-19) 1998

13th

18th

20th

17.00

Matt Stinchcomb, Sr.; Steve Herndon, Jr.; Miles Luckie, Jr.; Jonas Jennings, So.; Chris Terry, Sr.

t-19) 2003

19th

23rd

9th

17.00

Daniel Inman, Fr.; Josh Brock, So.; Russ Tanner, So.; Bartley Miller, So.; Max Jean-Gilles, So.

Again, an “index” which may be deemed meaningless by some, to me, actually exhibits that Georgia’s 2016 offensive linemen—whose Hog Index ranked in the top half of the SEC, and in the top 40 percent compared to previous Bulldog teams—were perhaps better than perceived by most. Therefore, if this season’s offensive line is presumably even better than before, perhaps the Dogs’ Hogs are in for a stellar 2017.

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